Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Charter Hall Group (CHC.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.96 - $169.97$66.37
Multi-Stage$24.28 - $26.51$25.37
Blended Fair Value$45.87
Current Price$19.19
Upside139.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.32%10.31%0.460.430.410.380.360.340.320.300.240.22
YoY Growth--5.99%5.99%7.66%5.95%6.00%3.99%6.37%26.43%11.50%25.96%
Dividend Yield--2.38%3.83%3.80%3.49%2.30%3.47%2.95%4.67%4.38%4.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)586.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)315.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)270.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)117.3473.3444.00
Cash Retained (M)270.90270.90270.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-117.34-73.34-44.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)153.56197.56226.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)480.17480.17480.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.410.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.410.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Fair Value$37.96$66.37$169.97
Upside / Downside97.82%245.83%785.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)586.70624.29664.28706.84752.13800.32824.33
Payout Ratio53.83%61.06%68.30%75.53%82.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)315.80381.20453.68533.88622.50720.29762.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)349.25352.57355.88
Year 2 PV (M)380.83388.09395.42
Year 3 PV (M)410.59422.39434.41
Year 4 PV (M)438.63455.51472.88
Year 5 PV (M)465.00487.48510.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,612.2510,076.9410,559.43
Equity Value (M)11,656.5512,182.9712,728.84
Shares Outstanding (M)480.17480.17480.17
Fair Value$24.28$25.37$26.51
Upside / Downside26.50%32.22%38.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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