Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Calian Group Ltd. (CGY.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.91 - $96.36$58.23
Multi-Stage$28.46 - $31.02$29.72
Blended Fair Value$43.97
Current Price$50.02
Upside-12.09%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.47%4.61%1.111.141.131.091.010.850.750.740.730.71
YoY Growth---2.86%1.43%3.12%7.94%19.00%12.89%1.56%1.74%2.40%0.70%
Dividend Yield--2.22%2.36%1.97%1.64%1.64%1.29%1.96%2.52%2.30%2.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.112.571.54
Cash Retained (M)7.597.597.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.11-2.57-1.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.485.026.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.6911.6911.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.430.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.430.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.411.541.63
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$38.91$58.23$96.36
Upside / Downside-22.21%16.40%92.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.5621.8923.3224.8326.4528.1629.01
Payout Ratio63.09%68.47%73.85%79.24%84.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.9714.9917.2219.6822.3825.3526.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13.5813.7113.84
Year 2 PV (M)14.1414.4114.68
Year 3 PV (M)14.6415.0615.49
Year 4 PV (M)15.0915.6716.27
Year 5 PV (M)15.4916.2417.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)259.67272.21285.23
Equity Value (M)332.62347.30362.53
Shares Outstanding (M)11.6911.6911.69
Fair Value$28.46$29.72$31.02
Upside / Downside-43.10%-40.59%-37.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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