Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

CeoTronics AG (CEK.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.65 - $106.26$42.74
Multi-Stage$15.32 - $16.74$16.02
Blended Fair Value$29.38
Current Price$14.45
Upside103.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.150.130.130.110.000.000.000.040.000.00
YoY Growth--10.00%0.00%25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.01%2.14%3.26%1.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.06%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.200.750.45
Cash Retained (M)3.913.913.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.20-0.75-0.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.713.163.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.457.457.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.420.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.420.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24.65$42.74$106.26
Upside / Downside70.56%195.80%635.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.996.386.797.237.708.218.45
Payout Ratio34.71%45.77%56.83%67.89%78.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.082.923.864.916.087.387.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2.672.702.72
Year 2 PV (M)3.233.293.36
Year 3 PV (M)3.763.873.98
Year 4 PV (M)4.274.434.60
Year 5 PV (M)4.744.975.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)95.52100.13104.92
Equity Value (M)114.19119.39124.79
Shares Outstanding (M)7.457.457.45
Fair Value$15.32$16.02$16.74
Upside / Downside6.04%10.87%15.88%

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