Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

PT Segar Kumala Indonesia Tbk (BUAH.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$190.34 - $267.11$228.50
Multi-Stage$280.49 - $307.40$293.69
Blended Fair Value$261.10
Current Price$700.00
Upside-62.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%11.507.000.0013.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--64.29%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.32%0.93%0.00%5.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60,967.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)39,967.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,193.417,620.884,572.53
Cash Retained (M)39,967.0739,967.0739,967.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,193.41-7,620.88-4,572.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)27,773.6532,346.1835,394.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,000.002,000.002,000.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.8916.1717.70
LTM Dividend per Share10.5010.5010.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.8916.1717.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.3926.6728.20
WACC / Discount Rate10.56%10.56%10.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$190.34$228.50$267.11
Upside / Downside-72.81%-67.36%-61.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60,967.0760,357.4059,753.8259,156.2958,564.7257,979.0859,718.45
Payout Ratio34.44%45.56%56.67%67.78%78.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21,000.0027,496.3333,860.6440,094.9146,201.1052,181.1755,239.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.56%10.56%10.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)24,619.6724,870.8925,122.11
Year 2 PV (M)27,146.2527,703.0928,265.57
Year 3 PV (M)28,781.3629,671.4530,579.69
Year 4 PV (M)29,694.9030,925.6232,194.20
Year 5 PV (M)30,029.6831,593.4033,221.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)420,705.39442,612.49465,422.84
Equity Value (M)560,977.25587,376.92614,806.00
Shares Outstanding (M)2,000.002,000.002,000.00
Fair Value$280.49$293.69$307.40
Upside / Downside-59.93%-58.04%-56.09%

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