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Definitive Analysis

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BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. (BSIG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.17 - $10.69$9.49
Multi-Stage$15.21 - $16.87$16.02
Blended Fair Value$12.76
Current Price$25.49
Upside-49.95%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-47.04%-37.87%0.040.050.030.080.300.981.161.061.051.05
YoY Growth---25.00%66.67%-58.62%-73.39%-69.72%-15.29%9.54%0.78%-0.52%-77.89%
Dividend Yield--0.16%0.24%0.14%0.33%1.46%15.34%8.37%7.01%6.93%7.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)87.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.5610.986.59
Cash Retained (M)87.5087.5087.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.56-10.98-6.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)69.9476.5380.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.7436.7436.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.902.082.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.902.082.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.912.092.21
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate-11.21%-10.21%-9.21%
Fair Value$8.17$9.49$10.69
Upside / Downside-67.95%-62.76%-58.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.8078.8470.7963.5757.0851.2552.79
Payout Ratio0.34%18.27%36.21%54.14%72.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.3014.4125.6334.4141.1346.1348.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate-11.21%-10.21%-9.21%
Year 1 PV (M)13.0013.1513.29
Year 2 PV (M)20.8721.3521.82
Year 3 PV (M)25.2926.1627.04
Year 4 PV (M)27.2828.5329.83
Year 5 PV (M)27.6129.2030.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)444.60470.20496.98
Equity Value (M)558.66588.59619.83
Shares Outstanding (M)36.7436.7436.74
Fair Value$15.21$16.02$16.87
Upside / Downside-40.34%-37.15%-33.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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