Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.55 - $73.63$46.30
Multi-Stage$38.58 - $42.23$40.37
Blended Fair Value$43.34
Current Price$20.96
Upside106.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.20%4.79%1.251.121.050.920.461.241.241.181.150.99
YoY Growth--11.75%6.82%13.65%101.28%-63.02%-0.41%5.76%2.41%15.97%26.43%
Dividend Yield--7.31%7.13%6.97%5.25%3.54%18.86%7.43%5.89%5.06%5.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.534.712.82
Cash Retained (M)6.916.916.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.53-4.71-2.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.632.204.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.2624.2624.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.090.17
LTM Dividend per Share1.271.271.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.090.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.241.361.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate2.70%3.70%4.70%
Fair Value$31.55$46.30$73.63
Upside / Downside50.53%120.91%251.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37.6539.0540.4941.9943.5445.1546.51
Payout Ratio81.66%83.33%85.00%86.66%88.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.7532.5434.4236.3938.4640.6443.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate2.70%3.70%4.70%
Year 1 PV (M)30.1930.4830.78
Year 2 PV (M)29.6330.2130.79
Year 3 PV (M)29.0629.9230.80
Year 4 PV (M)28.5029.6330.79
Year 5 PV (M)27.9429.3330.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)790.61829.86870.65
Equity Value (M)935.93979.421,024.57
Shares Outstanding (M)24.2624.2624.26
Fair Value$38.58$40.37$42.23
Upside / Downside84.06%92.61%101.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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