Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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The Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$115.78 - $248.68$165.11
Multi-Stage$140.66 - $153.96$147.19
Blended Fair Value$156.15
Current Price$77.03
Upside102.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.32%4.66%4.314.174.354.113.693.663.563.353.052.89
YoY Growth--3.29%-4.13%5.94%11.16%0.99%2.63%6.47%9.88%5.53%5.64%
Dividend Yield--5.59%5.61%6.93%5.70%4.04%5.34%4.93%4.48%3.72%3.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,789.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,638.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,151.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,557.80973.63584.18
Cash Retained (M)2,151.002,151.002,151.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,557.80-973.63-584.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)593.201,177.381,566.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,246.501,246.501,246.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.941.26
LTM Dividend per Share4.524.524.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.941.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.005.475.78
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate2.66%3.66%4.66%
Fair Value$115.78$165.11$248.68
Upside / Downside50.30%114.35%222.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,789.008,073.788,368.978,674.968,992.139,320.909,600.52
Payout Ratio72.38%75.91%79.43%82.95%86.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,638.006,128.596,647.517,196.197,776.118,388.818,880.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate2.66%3.66%4.66%
Year 1 PV (M)5,667.705,722.915,778.12
Year 2 PV (M)5,685.285,796.585,908.97
Year 3 PV (M)5,691.705,859.656,030.89
Year 4 PV (M)5,687.845,912.736,144.22
Year 5 PV (M)5,674.555,956.386,249.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)146,921.14154,217.90161,801.74
Equity Value (M)175,328.21183,466.16191,913.22
Shares Outstanding (M)1,246.501,246.501,246.50
Fair Value$140.66$147.19$153.96
Upside / Downside82.60%91.07%99.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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