Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Flanigan's Enterprises, Inc. (BDL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$212.20 - $462.35$433.29
Multi-Stage$68.98 - $75.54$72.20
Blended Fair Value$252.74
Current Price$35.18
Upside618.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.31%0.00%0.500.451.000.000.000.280.250.200.190.15
YoY Growth--10.86%-54.90%0.00%0.00%-100.00%11.83%25.00%8.14%23.30%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.99%1.75%3.86%0.00%0.00%1.24%0.97%0.85%0.76%0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.860.540.32
Cash Retained (M)3.393.393.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.86-0.54-0.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.532.853.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.861.861.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.361.531.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.361.531.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.862.032.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$212.20$433.29$462.35
Upside / Downside503.20%1,131.63%1,214.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.324.604.905.225.565.926.10
Payout Ratio21.50%35.20%48.90%62.60%76.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.931.622.403.274.245.335.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1.511.521.54
Year 2 PV (M)2.082.122.16
Year 3 PV (M)2.642.712.79
Year 4 PV (M)3.183.313.43
Year 5 PV (M)3.723.904.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)115.08120.64126.41
Equity Value (M)128.21134.20140.41
Shares Outstanding (M)1.861.861.86
Fair Value$68.98$72.20$75.54
Upside / Downside96.07%105.23%114.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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