Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

BayCom Corp (BCML)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.29 - $116.19$69.57
Multi-Stage$41.19 - $45.13$43.13
Blended Fair Value$56.35
Current Price$28.75
Upside96.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.310.330.180.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---7.20%80.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.21%1.60%1.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.642.901.74
Cash Retained (M)19.2619.2619.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.64-2.90-1.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.6316.3617.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.0511.0511.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.321.481.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.321.481.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.681.841.94
WACC / Discount Rate7.71%7.71%7.71%
Growth Rate3.94%4.94%5.94%
Fair Value$46.29$69.57$116.19
Upside / Downside61.02%142.00%304.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23.1924.3425.5426.8028.1229.5130.40
Payout Ratio16.94%31.55%46.16%60.78%75.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.937.6811.7916.2921.2026.5628.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.71%7.71%7.71%
Growth Rate3.94%4.94%5.94%
Year 1 PV (M)7.067.137.20
Year 2 PV (M)9.9710.1610.36
Year 3 PV (M)12.6713.0413.41
Year 4 PV (M)15.1615.7516.36
Year 5 PV (M)17.4718.3219.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)392.80412.06432.07
Equity Value (M)455.13476.47498.62
Shares Outstanding (M)11.0511.0511.05
Fair Value$41.19$43.13$45.13
Upside / Downside43.29%50.01%56.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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