Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Bath & Body Works, Inc. (BBWI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.48 - $19.40$17.02
Multi-Stage$24.15 - $26.58$25.34
Blended Fair Value$21.18
Current Price$24.48
Upside-13.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-11.82%-12.73%0.830.850.870.560.391.553.113.215.935.48
YoY Growth---2.75%-2.15%55.00%44.58%-75.00%-50.15%-2.92%-45.90%8.28%69.46%
Dividend Yield--2.65%1.85%2.48%1.06%0.73%16.01%14.87%11.56%13.90%8.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)699.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)169.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)530.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)139.8087.3852.43
Cash Retained (M)530.00530.00530.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-139.80-87.38-52.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)390.20442.63477.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)213.81213.81213.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.832.072.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.790.790.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.832.072.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.622.863.02
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate-6.40%-5.40%-4.40%
Fair Value$14.48$17.02$19.40
Upside / Downside-40.83%-30.48%-20.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)699.00661.29625.61591.85559.92529.71545.60
Payout Ratio24.18%37.34%50.51%63.67%76.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)169.00246.94315.97376.84430.22476.74504.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate-6.40%-5.40%-4.40%
Year 1 PV (M)221.10223.46225.82
Year 2 PV (M)253.30258.74264.24
Year 3 PV (M)270.48279.24288.19
Year 4 PV (M)276.48288.49300.88
Year 5 PV (M)274.32289.29304.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,868.284,079.374,299.58
Equity Value (M)5,163.955,418.595,683.61
Shares Outstanding (M)213.81213.81213.81
Fair Value$24.15$25.34$26.58
Upside / Downside-1.34%3.53%8.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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