DDM Analysis: BBLD.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$365.21 - $620.04	$476.14
Multi-Stage	$1,022.86 - $1,127.40	$1,074.10
Blended Fair Value	$775.12
Current Price	$745.00
Upside	4.04%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.39%	-10.40%	19.98	15.99	6.00	4.00	0.00	13.99	15.99	15.99	17.99	59.96
YoY Growth	-	-	25.00%	166.67%	50.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-12.50%	0.00%	-11.11%	-70.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.33%	2.91%	1.18%	0.99%	0.00%	3.19%	3.52%	3.14%	2.10%	4.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	49,898.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	19,755.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	30,143.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	9,979.60	6,237.25	3,742.35
Cash Retained (M)	30,143.00	30,143.00	30,143.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-9,979.60	-6,237.25	-3,742.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	20,163.40	23,905.75	26,400.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,645.80	1,645.80	1,645.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share	12.25	14.53	16.04
LTM Dividend per Share	12.00	12.00	12.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	12.25	14.53	16.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	24.25	26.53	28.04
WACC / Discount Rate	5.24%	5.24%	5.24%
Growth Rate	-1.32%	-0.32%	0.68%
Fair Value	$365.21	$476.14	$620.04
Upside / Downside	-50.98%	-36.09%	-16.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	49,898.00	49,739.20	49,580.91	49,423.12	49,265.83	49,109.04	50,582.32
Payout Ratio	39.59%	49.67%	59.75%	69.84%	79.92%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	19,755.00	24,706.76	29,626.80	34,515.28	39,372.34	44,198.14	46,788.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.24%	5.24%	5.24%
Growth Rate	-1.32%	-0.32%	0.68%
Year 1 PV (M)	23,242.04	23,477.57	23,713.09
Year 2 PV (M)	26,218.13	26,752.19	27,291.63
Year 3 PV (M)	28,733.38	29,615.78	30,516.06
Year 4 PV (M)	30,833.66	32,102.61	33,410.33
Year 5 PV (M)	32,560.89	34,244.46	35,996.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,541,830.03	1,621,550.79	1,704,535.56
Equity Value (M)	1,683,418.14	1,767,743.40	1,855,463.64
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,645.80	1,645.80	1,645.80
Fair Value	$1,022.86	$1,074.10	$1,127.40
Upside / Downside	37.30%	44.17%	51.33%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
EMTK.JK	PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk	3.98%	$43.78	48.47%
HOLN.SW	Holcim Ltd	3.98%	$3.10	11.12%
TQ5.SI	Frasers Property Limited	3.98%	$0.05	60.69%
007860.KS	Seoyon Co., Ltd.	3.97%	$381.92	8.19%
3217.TWO	Argosy Research Inc.	3.97%	$6.40	54.14%
5434.TW	Topco Scientific Co.,Ltd.	3.97%	$11.76	59.09%
ALTXC.PA	TXCOM Group	3.97%	$0.30	35.01%
MND.AX	Monadelphous Group Limited	3.97%	$1.05	72.16%
MXI.AX	MaxiPARTS Limited	3.97%	$0.09	46.30%
027410.KS	BGF Co., Ltd.	3.96%	$152.83	25.29%
CNT.BK	Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company Limited	3.96%	$0.04	56.47%
UCID.JK	PT Uni-Charm Indonesia Tbk	3.96%	$16.86	78.76%
002758.SZ	ZJAMP Group Co., Ltd.	3.95%	$0.40	46.30%
4065.KL	PPB Group Berhad	3.95%	$0.42	72.75%
600585.SS	Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited	3.95%	$0.86	51.83%
8464.TW	Nien Made Enterprise Co., Ltd.	3.95%	$14.49	64.65%
BRFS3.SA	BRF S.A.	3.95%	$0.71	31.92%
F34.SI	Wilmar International Limited	3.95%	$0.12	63.66%
000848.SZ	Cheng De Lolo Company Limited	3.94%	$0.33	55.15%
6412.T	Heiwa Corporation	3.94%	$80.00	63.34%
DSFIR.AS	DSM-Firmenich AG	3.94%	$2.71	99.44%
NDT.MI	Neodecortech S.p.A.	3.94%	$0.15	28.43%
TCSG.ME	TCS Group Holding PLC	3.94%	$129.27	21.76%
001720.KS	Shinyoung Securities Co., Ltd.	3.93%	$5,219.58	32.99%
0UKH.L	Bank of Montreal	3.93%	$7.04	57.77%
282330.KS	BGF retail Co. Ltd.	3.93%	$4,100.00	37.49%
4953.TWO	WITS Corp.	3.93%	$4.91	84.65%
601528.SS	Zhejiang Shaoxing RuiFeng Rural Commercial Bank Co.,Ltd	3.93%	$0.22	21.93%
601789.SS	Ningbo Construction Co., Ltd.	3.93%	$0.20	78.65%
EMA	Emera Incorporated	3.93%	$1.93	49.45%
TSPC.JK	PT Tempo Scan Pacific Tbk	3.93%	$111.90	33.61%
TTALO.HE	Terveystalo Oyj	3.93%	$0.38	55.32%
003012.SZ	Guangdong Dongpeng Holdings Co., Ltd.	3.92%	$0.26	78.10%
300181.SZ	Zhejiang Jolly Pharmaceutical Co.,LTD	3.92%	$0.63	73.60%
6491.TW	Pegavision Corporation	3.92%	$11.02	53.82%
82800.HK	Tracker Fund of Hong Kong	3.92%	$0.93	12.85%
DR0.DE	Deutsche Rohstoff AG	3.92%	$1.96	26.92%
SIRIP.BK	Siri Prime Office Property Fund	3.92%	$0.28	44.51%
SJR	Shaw Communications Inc.	3.92%	$1.18	80.43%
1437.TW	GTM Holdings Corporation	3.91%	$1.35	64.33%
234080.KS	JW Lifescience Corporation	3.91%	$501.22	16.27%
3693.TWO	AIC Inc.	3.91%	$10.92	61.94%
4863.KL	Telekom Malaysia Berhad	3.91%	$0.31	59.49%
PBP.AX	Probiotec Limited	3.91%	$0.12	41.70%
SUZB3.SA	Suzano S.A.	3.91%	$2.03	38.32%
025540.KS	Korea Electric Terminal Co., Ltd.	3.90%	$2,586.58	23.65%
AZ2.DE	Andritz AG	3.90%	$2.60	55.55%
EUX.F	Euwax AG	3.90%	$1.85	82.61%
TPIPP-R.BK	TPI Polene Power Public Company Limited	3.90%	$0.07	20.67%
0R9H.L	Banca Sistema S.p.A.	3.89%	$0.07	15.44%

Financial Statements

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PT Buana Finance Tbk (BBLD.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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