Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Multi-Chem Limited (AWZ.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.86 - $133.67$125.27
Multi-Stage$18.26 - $19.97$19.10
Blended Fair Value$72.18
Current Price$3.13
Upside2,206.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS51.80%0.00%0.270.110.070.110.040.030.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--139.63%60.87%-36.10%145.46%33.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.60%5.69%4.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.117.574.54
Cash Retained (M)23.8023.8023.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.11-7.57-4.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.6816.2319.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)90.1090.1090.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$42.86$125.27$133.67
Upside / Downside1,269.21%3,902.08%4,170.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60.5564.4968.6873.1577.9082.9685.45
Payout Ratio60.70%66.56%72.42%78.28%84.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.7642.9349.7457.2665.5574.6779.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39.8140.1840.56
Year 2 PV (M)42.7743.5944.41
Year 3 PV (M)45.6646.9748.31
Year 4 PV (M)48.4750.3452.25
Year 5 PV (M)51.2053.6856.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,417.661,486.131,557.22
Equity Value (M)1,645.581,720.891,799.01
Shares Outstanding (M)90.1090.1090.10
Fair Value$18.26$19.10$19.97
Upside / Downside483.54%510.25%537.95%

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