Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Aurskog Sparebank (AURG.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,915.48 - $10,541.52$9,241.97
Multi-Stage$1,329.46 - $1,454.88$1,391.02
Blended Fair Value$5,316.49
Current Price$241.95
Upside2,097.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.50%0.00%15.0010.008.006.957.655.6711.254.014.010.00
YoY Growth--50.00%25.06%15.00%-9.09%35.00%-49.63%180.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.44%4.65%3.77%3.49%4.40%3.70%7.68%3.07%3.11%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)245.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)69.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)175.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.0130.6318.38
Cash Retained (M)175.70175.70175.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.01-30.63-18.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)126.69145.07157.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.624.624.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share27.4131.3834.03
LTM Dividend per Share15.0015.0015.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share27.4131.3834.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend42.4046.3849.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,915.48$9,241.97$10,541.52
Upside / Downside1,104.99%3,719.78%4,256.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)245.04260.96277.92295.99315.23335.72345.79
Payout Ratio28.30%40.64%52.98%65.32%77.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)69.34106.05147.24193.34244.81302.15319.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)98.1599.08100.01
Year 2 PV (M)126.12128.52130.95
Year 3 PV (M)153.27157.67162.15
Year 4 PV (M)179.61186.52193.63
Year 5 PV (M)205.17215.08225.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,383.515,643.545,913.52
Equity Value (M)6,145.846,430.416,725.62
Shares Outstanding (M)4.624.624.62
Fair Value$1,329.46$1,391.02$1,454.88
Upside / Downside449.48%474.92%501.31%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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