Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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AptarGroup, Inc. (ATR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$97.07 - $184.45$132.32
Multi-Stage$108.20 - $118.53$113.27
Blended Fair Value$122.80
Current Price$133.66
Upside-8.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.80%4.84%1.691.541.481.461.371.341.221.191.141.06
YoY Growth--10.00%4.24%0.97%6.31%2.72%9.55%3.00%4.29%7.60%0.25%
Dividend Yield--1.14%1.08%1.25%1.24%0.97%1.34%1.13%1.32%1.48%1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)419.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)119.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)300.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)83.8552.4131.44
Cash Retained (M)300.01300.01300.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-83.85-52.41-31.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)216.16247.61268.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)67.4367.4367.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.213.673.98
LTM Dividend per Share1.771.771.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.213.673.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.975.445.75
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate2.80%3.80%4.80%
Fair Value$97.07$132.32$184.45
Upside / Downside-27.37%-1.00%38.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)419.25435.19451.74468.92486.75505.27520.42
Payout Ratio28.44%40.75%53.06%65.38%77.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)119.23177.35239.71306.56378.15454.74481.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate2.80%3.80%4.80%
Year 1 PV (M)162.52164.10165.69
Year 2 PV (M)201.31205.25209.22
Year 3 PV (M)235.93242.88249.97
Year 4 PV (M)266.69277.22288.06
Year 5 PV (M)293.90308.48323.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,135.696,439.976,756.21
Equity Value (M)7,296.057,637.907,992.77
Shares Outstanding (M)67.4367.4367.43
Fair Value$108.20$113.27$118.53
Upside / Downside-19.05%-15.25%-11.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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