Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

AB Sustainable Global Thematic Fund Class R (ATERX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - GlobalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$129.85 - $257.71$179.94
Multi-Stage$116.37 - $127.15$121.66
Blended Fair Value$150.80
Current Price$147.42
Upside2.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%6.57%2.802.692.672.612.550.002.101.991.821.64
YoY Growth--4.07%0.82%2.52%2.17%0.00%-100.00%5.24%9.43%11.13%10.56%
Dividend Yield--1.90%2.09%1.86%1.84%3.05%0.00%2.57%2.91%3.15%2.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)350.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)128.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)222.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.0043.7526.25
Cash Retained (M)222.00222.00222.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.00-43.75-26.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)152.00178.25195.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.6645.6645.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.333.904.29
LTM Dividend per Share2.802.802.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.333.904.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.136.717.09
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate4.26%5.26%6.26%
Fair Value$129.85$179.94$257.71
Upside / Downside-11.92%22.06%74.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)350.00368.42387.80408.21429.69452.29465.86
Payout Ratio36.57%47.26%57.94%68.63%79.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)128.00174.10224.70280.15340.80407.06430.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate4.26%5.26%6.26%
Year 1 PV (M)157.94159.46160.97
Year 2 PV (M)184.92188.49192.08
Year 3 PV (M)209.15215.22221.42
Year 4 PV (M)230.81239.80249.04
Year 5 PV (M)250.10262.33275.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,280.464,489.714,707.06
Equity Value (M)5,313.385,555.005,805.60
Shares Outstanding (M)45.6645.6645.66
Fair Value$116.37$121.66$127.15
Upside / Downside-21.07%-17.48%-13.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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