Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Aspo Oyj (ASPO.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.38 - $10.35$8.16
Multi-Stage$11.21 - $12.34$11.76
Blended Fair Value$9.96
Current Price$5.98
Upside66.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-11.34%1.66%0.220.430.420.320.200.410.390.380.370.36
YoY Growth---48.08%2.40%28.95%59.41%-49.88%3.06%3.37%2.50%2.80%91.72%
Dividend Yield--4.33%7.10%4.88%4.57%2.29%7.01%4.44%3.82%4.19%4.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.962.481.49
Cash Retained (M)16.9516.9516.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.96-2.48-1.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.9914.4815.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.7933.7933.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.430.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.430.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate-0.34%0.66%1.66%
Fair Value$6.38$8.16$10.35
Upside / Downside6.69%36.50%73.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19.8019.9320.0620.1920.3320.4621.07
Payout Ratio14.38%29.50%44.63%59.75%74.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.855.888.9512.0715.2218.4119.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate-0.34%0.66%1.66%
Year 1 PV (M)5.445.505.55
Year 2 PV (M)7.677.827.98
Year 3 PV (M)9.569.8510.15
Year 4 PV (M)11.1611.6212.09
Year 5 PV (M)12.5013.1413.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)332.52349.54367.25
Equity Value (M)378.86397.47416.83
Shares Outstanding (M)33.7933.7933.79
Fair Value$11.21$11.76$12.34
Upside / Downside87.48%96.70%106.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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