Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC (ASIC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.62 - $18.38$14.70
Multi-Stage$28.96 - $31.95$30.43
Blended Fair Value$22.56
Current Price$19.77
Upside14.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---84.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.04%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.746.714.03
Cash Retained (M)46.8346.8346.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.74-6.71-4.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.1040.1242.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.0546.0546.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.780.870.93
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.780.870.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.931.021.08
WACC / Discount Rate5.87%5.87%5.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.62$14.70$18.38
Upside / Downside-41.24%-25.62%-7.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53.6953.1552.6252.1051.5851.0652.59
Payout Ratio12.77%28.22%43.66%59.11%74.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.8615.0022.9830.7938.4545.9548.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.87%5.87%5.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14.0214.1714.31
Year 2 PV (M)20.0920.5020.92
Year 3 PV (M)25.1725.9526.75
Year 4 PV (M)29.3930.6131.87
Year 5 PV (M)32.8434.5536.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,212.281,275.401,341.13
Equity Value (M)1,333.801,401.191,471.30
Shares Outstanding (M)46.0546.0546.05
Fair Value$28.96$30.43$31.95
Upside / Downside46.49%53.90%61.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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