Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

ArcBest Corporation (ARCB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TruckingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57.67 - $101.33$76.23
Multi-Stage$47.49 - $51.87$49.64
Blended Fair Value$62.94
Current Price$69.87
Upside-9.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.65%10.66%0.480.490.460.350.350.350.350.350.360.29
YoY Growth---2.14%6.57%33.06%-0.22%-0.37%-0.69%-0.24%-0.65%21.66%66.67%
Dividend Yield--0.69%0.35%0.50%0.43%0.50%2.00%1.08%1.11%1.37%1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)97.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)86.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.4512.167.29
Cash Retained (M)86.1786.1786.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.45-12.16-7.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)66.7274.0178.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.3223.3223.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.863.173.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.863.173.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.343.653.86
WACC / Discount Rate11.01%11.01%11.01%
Growth Rate4.94%5.94%6.94%
Fair Value$57.67$76.23$101.33
Upside / Downside-17.46%9.11%45.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)97.25103.02109.14115.62122.48129.76133.65
Payout Ratio11.39%27.11%42.84%58.56%74.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.0827.9346.7567.7090.98116.78123.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.01%11.01%11.01%
Growth Rate4.94%5.94%6.94%
Year 1 PV (M)24.9325.1625.40
Year 2 PV (M)37.2337.9438.66
Year 3 PV (M)48.1149.4950.91
Year 4 PV (M)57.6859.9162.21
Year 5 PV (M)66.0769.2872.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)873.36915.77959.82
Equity Value (M)1,107.371,157.561,209.60
Shares Outstanding (M)23.3223.3223.32
Fair Value$47.49$49.64$51.87
Upside / Downside-32.04%-28.95%-25.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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