Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$372.92 - $587.06$471.02
Multi-Stage$435.46 - $477.00$455.85
Blended Fair Value$463.43
Current Price$491.25
Upside-5.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.64%3.03%5.775.535.375.145.005.075.094.944.824.68
YoY Growth--4.36%3.00%4.50%2.82%-1.39%-0.40%3.05%2.51%3.01%9.15%
Dividend Yield--1.19%1.27%1.75%1.71%2.15%4.95%3.83%3.34%3.71%4.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,626.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)591.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,035.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)725.20453.25271.95
Cash Retained (M)3,035.003,035.003,035.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-725.20-453.25-271.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,309.802,581.752,763.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)99.4599.4599.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share23.2325.9627.78
LTM Dividend per Share5.945.945.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share23.2325.9627.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend29.1731.9033.73
WACC / Discount Rate9.81%9.81%9.81%
Growth Rate1.84%2.84%3.84%
Fair Value$372.92$471.02$587.06
Upside / Downside-24.09%-4.12%19.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,626.003,729.043,835.013,943.994,056.074,171.334,296.47
Payout Ratio16.30%31.04%45.78%60.52%75.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)591.001,157.461,755.642,386.893,052.593,754.203,974.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.81%9.81%9.81%
Growth Rate1.84%2.84%3.84%
Year 1 PV (M)1,043.841,054.091,064.34
Year 2 PV (M)1,427.861,456.041,484.50
Year 3 PV (M)1,750.681,802.761,855.86
Year 4 PV (M)2,019.152,099.632,182.50
Year 5 PV (M)2,239.462,351.592,468.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,825.9736,569.6938,382.57
Equity Value (M)43,306.9745,333.8047,437.92
Shares Outstanding (M)99.4599.4599.45
Fair Value$435.46$455.85$477.00
Upside / Downside-11.36%-7.21%-2.90%

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