Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Allied Motion Technologies Inc. (AMOT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.48 - $22.76$15.01
Multi-Stage$7.65 - $8.36$8.00
Blended Fair Value$11.50
Current Price$31.25
Upside-63.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.11%7.48%0.120.110.090.080.070.070.060.060.060.06
YoY Growth--8.49%18.88%12.04%18.19%-0.85%8.43%12.51%1.80%2.06%-4.15%
Dividend Yield--0.38%0.35%0.24%0.28%0.20%0.44%0.28%0.22%0.42%0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.811.130.68
Cash Retained (M)7.097.097.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.81-1.13-0.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.275.956.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.6816.6816.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.360.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.360.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.480.50
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.48%6.48%7.48%
Fair Value$10.48$15.01$22.76
Upside / Downside-66.45%-51.98%-27.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.079.6510.2810.9511.6612.4112.78
Payout Ratio21.85%35.48%49.11%62.74%76.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.983.435.056.878.9011.1711.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.48%6.48%7.48%
Year 1 PV (M)3.093.123.15
Year 2 PV (M)4.114.184.26
Year 3 PV (M)5.045.185.33
Year 4 PV (M)5.896.116.35
Year 5 PV (M)6.666.987.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)102.87107.84113.00
Equity Value (M)127.65133.42139.40
Shares Outstanding (M)16.6816.6816.68
Fair Value$7.65$8.00$8.36
Upside / Downside-75.52%-74.41%-73.26%

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