Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wedia S.A. (ALWED.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.71 - $27.72$22.31
Multi-Stage$23.70 - $26.00$24.83
Blended Fair Value$23.57
Current Price$30.40
Upside-22.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-1.95%0.00%0.170.340.340.300.300.190.090.070.000.12
YoY Growth---50.00%-0.34%13.67%0.00%60.00%100.00%29.03%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.70%1.14%0.71%1.05%1.20%0.82%0.49%0.52%0.00%0.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.300.190.11
Cash Retained (M)1.201.201.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.30-0.19-0.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.891.011.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.850.850.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.041.181.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.041.181.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.421.561.65
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate0.83%1.83%2.83%
Fair Value$17.71$22.31$27.72
Upside / Downside-41.74%-26.60%-8.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1.521.551.581.601.631.661.71
Payout Ratio21.38%35.11%48.83%62.55%76.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.330.540.771.001.251.501.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate0.83%1.83%2.83%
Year 1 PV (M)0.490.500.50
Year 2 PV (M)0.640.650.66
Year 3 PV (M)0.750.780.80
Year 4 PV (M)0.850.890.92
Year 5 PV (M)0.930.981.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)16.5717.4118.28
Equity Value (M)20.2421.2022.19
Shares Outstanding (M)0.850.850.85
Fair Value$23.70$24.83$26.00
Upside / Downside-22.02%-18.32%-14.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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