Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Riber S.A. (ALRIB.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.11 - $75.32$24.56
Multi-Stage$8.58 - $9.37$8.96
Blended Fair Value$16.76
Current Price$3.52
Upside376.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.10%0.00%0.070.050.050.030.030.050.050.000.000.00
YoY Growth--39.58%0.00%66.56%0.00%-39.39%-0.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.59%2.71%3.06%1.72%1.96%1.86%2.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.590.990.60
Cash Retained (M)2.292.292.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.59-0.99-0.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.701.301.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.9320.9320.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.060.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.060.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.10%6.10%7.10%
Fair Value$13.11$24.56$75.32
Upside / Downside272.56%597.60%2,039.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.968.448.969.5010.0810.7011.02
Payout Ratio71.18%74.94%78.71%82.47%86.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.666.337.057.848.709.6310.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.10%6.10%7.10%
Year 1 PV (M)5.835.885.94
Year 2 PV (M)5.986.106.21
Year 3 PV (M)6.136.306.48
Year 4 PV (M)6.266.506.75
Year 5 PV (M)6.386.697.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)148.92156.14163.64
Equity Value (M)179.50187.62196.04
Shares Outstanding (M)20.9320.9320.93
Fair Value$8.58$8.96$9.37
Upside / Downside143.65%154.66%166.09%

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