Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Baikowski S.A. (ALBKK.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.25 - $19.05$16.08
Multi-Stage$20.97 - $23.05$21.99
Blended Fair Value$19.04
Current Price$20.80
Upside-8.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.600.850.000.000.000.992.180.960.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-29.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-54.54%128.38%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%3.43%5.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%7.19%15.59%6.83%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.380.860.52
Cash Retained (M)5.815.815.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.38-0.86-0.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.434.945.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.663.663.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.211.351.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.211.351.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.511.651.74
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$13.25$16.08$19.05
Upside / Downside-36.29%-22.67%-8.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.916.846.786.716.646.576.77
Payout Ratio15.97%30.78%45.58%60.39%75.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.102.113.094.054.995.926.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.911.931.95
Year 2 PV (M)2.542.592.64
Year 3 PV (M)3.023.113.21
Year 4 PV (M)3.383.523.66
Year 5 PV (M)3.633.824.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)62.3765.6269.00
Equity Value (M)76.8580.5984.48
Shares Outstanding (M)3.663.663.66
Fair Value$20.97$21.99$23.05
Upside / Downside0.81%5.72%10.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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