Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. (AJRD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.62 - $25.56$18.48
Multi-Stage$18.84 - $20.71$19.76
Blended Fair Value$19.12
Current Price$56.17
Upside-65.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS0.00%0.00%0.035.220.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---99.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.06%13.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)74.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)72.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.809.255.55
Cash Retained (M)72.0072.0072.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.80-9.25-5.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)57.2062.7566.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)82.0882.0882.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.760.81
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.760.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.790.83
WACC / Discount Rate6.95%6.95%6.95%
Growth Rate1.57%2.57%3.57%
Fair Value$13.62$18.48$25.56
Upside / Downside-75.75%-67.11%-54.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)74.0075.9177.8679.8681.9284.0386.55
Payout Ratio2.70%20.16%37.62%55.08%72.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.0015.3029.2943.9959.4375.6380.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.95%6.95%6.95%
Growth Rate1.57%2.57%3.57%
Year 1 PV (M)14.1714.3114.45
Year 2 PV (M)25.1125.6126.11
Year 3 PV (M)34.9135.9537.02
Year 4 PV (M)43.6745.4147.21
Year 5 PV (M)51.4554.0456.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,377.311,446.451,518.35
Equity Value (M)1,546.621,621.771,699.85
Shares Outstanding (M)82.0882.0882.08
Fair Value$18.84$19.76$20.71
Upside / Downside-66.45%-64.82%-63.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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