Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Altra Industrial Motion Corp. (AIMC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.22 - $93.01$58.83
Multi-Stage$28.48 - $31.12$29.78
Blended Fair Value$44.31
Current Price$59.75
Upside-25.85%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS0.00%0.00%0.340.280.430.680.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--21.86%-34.17%-37.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.57%0.72%0.77%3.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)127.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)104.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.4015.889.53
Cash Retained (M)104.70104.70104.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.40-15.88-9.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)79.3088.8395.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)65.3865.3865.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.211.361.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.211.361.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.551.701.80
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$40.22$58.83$93.01
Upside / Downside-32.69%-1.53%55.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)127.00135.26144.05153.41163.38174.00179.22
Payout Ratio17.56%32.05%46.54%61.02%75.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.3043.3567.0393.62123.37156.60165.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39.1939.5639.93
Year 2 PV (M)54.7855.8356.88
Year 3 PV (M)69.1771.1573.18
Year 4 PV (M)82.4085.5788.83
Year 5 PV (M)94.5699.13103.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,522.051,595.561,671.89
Equity Value (M)1,862.151,946.802,034.58
Shares Outstanding (M)65.3865.3865.38
Fair Value$28.48$29.78$31.12
Upside / Downside-52.33%-50.16%-47.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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