Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Samator Indo Gas Tbk (AGII.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$457.58 - $898.73$631.61
Multi-Stage$445.96 - $487.66$466.42
Blended Fair Value$549.02
Current Price$805.00
Upside-31.80%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.92%0.00%12.036.1710.603.130.003.250.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--95.07%-41.81%239.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.01%0.36%0.52%0.19%0.00%0.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)84,583.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32,041.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)52,542.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16,916.6010,572.886,343.73
Cash Retained (M)52,542.0052,542.0052,542.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-16,916.60-10,572.88-6,343.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)35,625.4041,969.1346,198.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,066.663,066.663,066.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.6213.6915.06
LTM Dividend per Share10.4510.4510.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.6213.6915.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend22.0724.1325.51
WACC / Discount Rate8.70%8.70%8.70%
Growth Rate3.70%4.70%5.70%
Fair Value$457.58$631.61$898.73
Upside / Downside-43.16%-21.54%11.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)84,583.0088,559.8392,723.6597,083.23101,647.79106,426.96109,619.76
Payout Ratio37.88%48.30%58.73%69.15%79.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32,041.0042,778.7554,455.3767,135.4480,887.4795,784.26101,398.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.70%8.70%8.70%
Growth Rate3.70%4.70%5.70%
Year 1 PV (M)38,978.1639,354.0339,729.90
Year 2 PV (M)45,209.2646,085.3846,969.90
Year 3 PV (M)50,784.5852,267.9453,779.92
Year 4 PV (M)55,751.2557,933.0060,178.17
Year 5 PV (M)60,153.4963,110.2866,182.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,116,724.051,171,615.631,228,644.82
Equity Value (M)1,367,600.801,430,366.271,495,484.93
Shares Outstanding (M)3,066.663,066.663,066.66
Fair Value$445.96$466.42$487.66
Upside / Downside-44.60%-42.06%-39.42%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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