Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.19 - $12.53$10.89
Multi-Stage$11.19 - $12.28$11.73
Blended Fair Value$11.31
Current Price$39.13
Upside-71.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--74.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)117.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)116.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.4214.648.78
Cash Retained (M)116.38116.38116.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.42-14.64-8.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.96101.74107.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)67.3467.3467.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.381.511.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.381.511.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.391.521.61
WACC / Discount Rate12.83%12.83%12.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.19$10.89$12.53
Upside / Downside-76.51%-72.17%-67.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)117.11115.94114.78113.63112.49111.37114.71
Payout Ratio0.62%18.50%36.37%54.25%72.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.7321.4541.7561.6481.14100.23106.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.83%12.83%12.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.8219.0119.20
Year 2 PV (M)32.1332.7933.46
Year 3 PV (M)41.6242.9144.23
Year 4 PV (M)48.0650.0652.11
Year 5 PV (M)52.0954.8057.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)560.78589.98620.38
Equity Value (M)753.51789.55827.01
Shares Outstanding (M)67.3467.3467.34
Fair Value$11.19$11.73$12.28
Upside / Downside-71.40%-70.04%-68.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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