Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.53 - $51.01$37.16
Multi-Stage$30.34 - $33.17$31.73
Blended Fair Value$34.45
Current Price$46.13
Upside-25.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.44%5.03%0.900.910.820.810.780.760.730.630.580.57
YoY Growth---1.74%10.79%1.76%3.45%3.35%3.70%16.46%7.05%2.50%4.05%
Dividend Yield--1.68%2.23%1.75%1.94%2.04%1.98%2.13%1.65%1.45%1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)115.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)63.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.1814.498.69
Cash Retained (M)52.4052.4052.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.18-14.49-8.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.2237.9143.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)63.1363.1363.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.460.600.69
LTM Dividend per Share1.011.011.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.460.600.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.471.611.70
WACC / Discount Rate8.52%8.52%8.52%
Growth Rate3.03%4.03%5.03%
Fair Value$27.53$37.16$51.01
Upside / Downside-40.32%-19.44%10.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)115.90120.57125.42130.47135.72141.19145.42
Payout Ratio54.79%61.83%68.87%75.92%82.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)63.5074.5586.3899.05112.59127.07134.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.52%8.52%8.52%
Growth Rate3.03%4.03%5.03%
Year 1 PV (M)68.0368.6969.35
Year 2 PV (M)71.9473.3574.76
Year 3 PV (M)75.2877.4979.75
Year 4 PV (M)78.1081.1784.34
Year 5 PV (M)80.4484.4288.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,541.691,617.981,697.26
Equity Value (M)1,915.482,003.112,094.02
Shares Outstanding (M)63.1363.1363.13
Fair Value$30.34$31.73$33.17
Upside / Downside-34.22%-31.21%-28.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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