Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Banco ABC Brasil S.A. (ABCB4.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$223.39 - $807.73$708.09
Multi-Stage$101.80 - $111.41$106.52
Blended Fair Value$407.30
Current Price$23.25
Upside1,651.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--334.02%78.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.26%0.05%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)969.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)266.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)703.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)193.91121.1972.72
Cash Retained (M)703.23703.23703.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-193.91-121.19-72.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)509.32582.04630.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)238.72238.72238.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.132.442.64
LTM Dividend per Share1.121.121.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.132.442.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.253.553.76
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$223.39$708.09$807.73
Upside / Downside860.80%2,945.54%3,374.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)969.551,032.571,099.691,171.171,247.291,328.371,368.22
Payout Ratio27.47%39.97%52.48%64.99%77.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)266.32412.77577.13761.11966.571,195.531,265.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)382.02385.64389.26
Year 2 PV (M)494.34503.76513.26
Year 3 PV (M)603.37620.69638.34
Year 4 PV (M)709.17736.44764.49
Year 5 PV (M)811.81851.02891.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,301.0622,329.9123,398.13
Equity Value (M)24,301.7725,427.4626,595.23
Shares Outstanding (M)238.72238.72238.72
Fair Value$101.80$106.52$111.41
Upside / Downside337.85%358.14%379.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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