Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

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A2A S.p.A. (A2A.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Diversified UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.78 - $46.50$43.58
Multi-Stage$6.91 - $7.56$7.22
Blended Fair Value$25.40
Current Price$2.23
Upside1,039.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.98%12.11%0.100.100.090.080.080.070.060.050.040.04
YoY Growth--5.96%6.71%14.11%2.90%10.55%21.11%17.65%21.43%11.50%10.78%
Dividend Yield--4.58%5.85%6.15%5.11%4.97%6.16%3.55%3.15%2.83%3.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)732.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)351.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)381.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)146.4091.5054.90
Cash Retained (M)381.00381.00381.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-146.40-91.50-54.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)234.60289.50326.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,130.713,130.713,130.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.200.22
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$19.78$43.58$46.50
Upside / Downside786.78%1,854.12%1,985.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)732.00779.58830.25884.22941.691,002.901,032.99
Payout Ratio47.95%56.36%64.77%73.18%81.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)351.00439.38537.76647.07768.33902.61955.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)408.69412.57416.44
Year 2 PV (M)465.28474.14483.08
Year 3 PV (M)520.76535.71550.94
Year 4 PV (M)575.17597.29620.04
Year 5 PV (M)628.51658.86690.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,021.2219,939.9520,893.85
Equity Value (M)21,619.6322,618.5223,654.74
Shares Outstanding (M)3,130.713,130.713,130.71
Fair Value$6.91$7.22$7.56
Upside / Downside209.67%223.98%238.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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