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Definitive Analysis

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Ruentex Development Co.,Ltd. (9945.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$312.30 - $677.15$634.59
Multi-Stage$101.95 - $111.62$106.70
Blended Fair Value$370.64
Current Price$29.60
Upside1,152.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.28%-2.04%1.550.001.530.550.360.731.210.000.001.73
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%180.00%50.00%-50.00%-40.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-9.10%
Dividend Yield--4.41%0.00%3.89%0.93%1.39%5.40%7.50%0.00%0.00%8.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,391.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,128.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,262.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,878.311,173.94704.36
Cash Retained (M)6,262.886,262.886,262.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,878.31-1,173.94-704.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,384.575,088.945,558.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,758.232,758.232,758.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.591.852.02
LTM Dividend per Share1.131.131.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.591.852.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.722.983.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$312.30$634.59$677.15
Upside / Downside955.07%2,043.89%2,187.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,391.5310,001.9810,652.1111,344.4912,081.8812,867.2113,253.22
Payout Ratio33.31%44.65%55.99%67.33%78.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,128.654,465.965,963.917,637.739,503.9411,580.4912,259.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,157.134,196.544,235.94
Year 2 PV (M)5,167.605,266.035,365.39
Year 3 PV (M)6,160.286,337.126,517.31
Year 4 PV (M)7,135.417,409.827,692.06
Year 5 PV (M)8,093.218,484.128,889.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)250,499.73262,598.96275,161.26
Equity Value (M)281,213.37294,292.58307,861.95
Shares Outstanding (M)2,758.232,758.232,758.23
Fair Value$101.95$106.70$111.62
Upside / Downside244.44%260.46%277.08%

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