Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hsin Kao Gas Co.,Ltd. (9931.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.87 - $204.26$103.08
Multi-Stage$77.10 - $84.61$80.78
Blended Fair Value$91.93
Current Price$34.30
Upside168.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.96%4.74%1.000.281.291.190.431.111.021.020.851.11
YoY Growth--263.35%-78.57%7.69%180.80%-61.54%8.33%0.00%20.00%-23.08%75.50%
Dividend Yield--2.83%0.73%3.54%3.25%1.12%3.76%3.70%3.79%3.24%4.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)295.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)175.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.1836.9922.19
Cash Retained (M)175.55175.55175.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.18-36.99-22.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)116.36138.56153.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)120.22120.22120.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.971.151.28
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.971.151.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.972.152.28
WACC / Discount Rate5.91%5.91%5.91%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Fair Value$63.87$103.08$204.26
Upside / Downside86.21%200.53%495.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)295.92306.99318.47330.39342.75355.57366.24
Payout Ratio40.68%50.54%60.41%70.27%80.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.37155.16192.38232.17274.66320.02338.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.91%5.91%5.91%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Year 1 PV (M)145.09146.50147.91
Year 2 PV (M)168.22171.51174.83
Year 3 PV (M)189.84195.44201.14
Year 4 PV (M)210.01218.31226.85
Year 5 PV (M)228.81240.17251.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,326.978,740.189,169.62
Equity Value (M)9,268.949,712.1010,172.33
Shares Outstanding (M)120.22120.22120.22
Fair Value$77.10$80.78$84.61
Upside / Downside124.77%135.52%146.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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