Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Weihai Bank Co., Ltd. Class H (9677.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.81 - $93.13$82.11
Multi-Stage$11.84 - $12.95$12.38
Blended Fair Value$47.25
Current Price$2.70
Upside1,649.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.36%9.93%0.150.000.100.100.090.070.070.100.190.16
YoY Growth--8,106,281.82%-100.00%-0.08%9.39%30.49%-1.47%-31.90%-46.44%19.79%180.55%
Dividend Yield--5.51%0.00%3.65%3.80%3.24%2.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,795.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,041.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,753.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)559.00349.37209.62
Cash Retained (M)1,753.341,753.341,753.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-559.00-349.37-209.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,194.341,403.971,543.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,968.695,968.695,968.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.240.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.240.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.410.43
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$25.81$82.11$93.13
Upside / Downside855.83%2,941.16%3,349.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,795.002,976.673,170.163,376.223,595.673,829.393,944.27
Payout Ratio37.27%47.81%58.36%68.91%79.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,041.661,423.291,850.142,326.462,856.893,446.453,648.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,317.301,329.791,342.27
Year 2 PV (M)1,584.851,615.031,645.51
Year 3 PV (M)1,844.471,897.411,951.37
Year 4 PV (M)2,096.332,176.952,259.87
Year 5 PV (M)2,340.612,453.672,571.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)61,461.8364,430.4667,512.71
Equity Value (M)70,645.3973,903.3277,282.77
Shares Outstanding (M)5,968.695,968.695,968.69
Fair Value$11.84$12.38$12.95
Upside / Downside338.37%358.59%379.56%

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