Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Multi Business Group Co. (9619.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.62 - $47.38$38.39
Multi-Stage$68.13 - $75.10$71.54
Blended Fair Value$54.97
Current Price$16.80
Upside227.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.230.120.160.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--100.00%-25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.57%0.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.445.273.16
Cash Retained (M)35.6835.6835.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.44-5.27-3.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.2430.4132.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.8312.8312.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.122.372.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.122.372.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.632.883.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$30.62$38.39$47.38
Upside / Downside82.26%128.52%182.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.1841.7641.3440.9340.5240.1141.32
Payout Ratio15.41%30.33%45.25%60.16%75.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.5012.6618.7124.6230.4236.1038.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.7811.9012.02
Year 2 PV (M)16.1816.5216.85
Year 3 PV (M)19.8220.4321.06
Year 4 PV (M)22.7723.7224.69
Year 5 PV (M)25.1426.4527.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)778.12818.64860.83
Equity Value (M)873.82917.66963.27
Shares Outstanding (M)12.8312.8312.83
Fair Value$68.13$71.54$75.10
Upside / Downside305.51%325.86%347.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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