Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Abdulaziz and Mansour Ibrahim Albabtin Co. (9549.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.50 - $21.96$18.01
Multi-Stage$29.43 - $32.39$30.88
Blended Fair Value$24.45
Current Price$35.50
Upside-31.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.500.500.991.070.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-50.00%-6.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.13%1.13%2.12%1.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.140.720.43
Cash Retained (M)4.024.024.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.14-0.72-0.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.883.313.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.423.423.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.840.971.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.840.971.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.341.471.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.05%7.05%7.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$14.50$18.01$21.96
Upside / Downside-59.16%-49.27%-38.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.725.675.615.555.505.445.61
Payout Ratio29.71%41.76%53.82%65.88%77.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.702.373.023.664.284.905.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.05%7.05%7.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2.192.212.23
Year 2 PV (M)2.582.632.69
Year 3 PV (M)2.892.983.07
Year 4 PV (M)3.133.263.40
Year 5 PV (M)3.313.483.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)86.4790.9795.66
Equity Value (M)100.58105.55110.71
Shares Outstanding (M)3.423.423.42
Fair Value$29.43$30.88$32.39
Upside / Downside-17.11%-13.01%-8.75%

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