Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Japan Transcity Corporation (9310.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,993.97 - $19,119.82$17,918.07
Multi-Stage$2,811.16 - $3,076.51$2,941.40
Blended Fair Value$10,429.74
Current Price$1,093.00
Upside854.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS18.33%9.91%23.6612.2411.2510.2210.2010.2010.2010.1910.6910.23
YoY Growth--93.37%8.77%10.12%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.16%-4.76%4.51%11.25%
Dividend Yield--2.17%1.18%1.81%2.08%1.90%2.02%2.12%1.89%2.35%3.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,041.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,449.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,592.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,208.20755.13453.08
Cash Retained (M)3,592.003,592.003,592.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,208.20-755.13-453.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,383.802,836.883,138.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.8462.8462.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share37.9445.1549.95
LTM Dividend per Share38.9738.9738.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share37.9445.1549.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend76.9184.1288.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,993.97$17,918.07$19,119.82
Upside / Downside631.38%1,539.35%1,649.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,041.006,433.676,851.857,297.227,771.548,276.698,524.99
Payout Ratio40.54%50.43%60.32%70.22%80.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,449.003,244.614,133.305,123.816,225.627,449.027,885.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,017.553,046.153,074.75
Year 2 PV (M)3,575.043,643.133,711.87
Year 3 PV (M)4,121.634,239.944,360.50
Year 4 PV (M)4,657.474,836.595,020.82
Year 5 PV (M)5,182.735,433.065,692.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)156,086.41163,625.44171,453.01
Equity Value (M)176,640.83184,824.31193,313.92
Shares Outstanding (M)62.8462.8462.84
Fair Value$2,811.16$2,941.40$3,076.51
Upside / Downside157.20%169.11%181.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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