Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

AB&Company Co.,Ltd. (9251.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$619.39 - $940.11$770.11
Multi-Stage$1,281.87 - $1,410.50$1,344.92
Blended Fair Value$1,057.51
Current Price$960.00
Upside10.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%29.6829.610.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.58%3.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,009.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)397.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)612.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)201.80126.1375.68
Cash Retained (M)612.00612.00612.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-201.80-126.13-75.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)410.20485.88536.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.2214.2214.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.8534.1737.72
LTM Dividend per Share27.9227.9227.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.8534.1737.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend56.7762.0965.64
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$619.39$770.11$940.11
Upside / Downside-35.48%-19.78%-2.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,009.00998.91988.92979.03969.24959.55988.34
Payout Ratio39.35%49.48%59.61%69.74%79.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)397.00494.23589.47682.76774.13863.59914.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)457.30461.97466.64
Year 2 PV (M)504.68515.04525.49
Year 3 PV (M)540.88557.61574.68
Year 4 PV (M)567.45590.96615.21
Year 5 PV (M)585.73616.24647.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,569.9116,380.6717,224.86
Equity Value (M)18,225.9619,122.4920,054.87
Shares Outstanding (M)14.2214.2214.22
Fair Value$1,281.87$1,344.92$1,410.50
Upside / Downside33.53%40.10%46.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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