Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ota Floriculture Auction Co.,Ltd. (7555.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$169.62 - $242.13$205.21
Multi-Stage$273.02 - $299.28$285.90
Blended Fair Value$245.56
Current Price$748.00
Upside-67.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.03%0.00%11.9814.9611.9710.0110.0011.960.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---19.97%25.04%19.61%0.07%-16.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.61%1.92%1.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)126.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.3815.869.52
Cash Retained (M)66.7766.7766.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.38-15.86-9.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.4050.9157.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.095.095.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.1410.0111.25
LTM Dividend per Share11.8111.8111.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.1410.0111.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.9521.8223.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$169.62$205.21$242.13
Upside / Downside-77.32%-72.56%-67.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)126.88125.61124.36123.11121.88120.66124.28
Payout Ratio47.37%55.90%64.42%72.95%81.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.1170.2180.1189.8199.30108.60114.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)63.4664.1164.75
Year 2 PV (M)65.4466.7868.14
Year 3 PV (M)66.3068.3570.44
Year 4 PV (M)66.2669.0071.83
Year 5 PV (M)65.4968.9072.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,062.111,117.421,175.01
Equity Value (M)1,389.061,454.561,522.63
Shares Outstanding (M)5.095.095.09
Fair Value$273.02$285.90$299.28
Upside / Downside-63.50%-61.78%-59.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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