Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Direct Marketing MiX Inc. (7354.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$316.60 - $532.47$411.18
Multi-Stage$1,154.65 - $1,275.06$1,213.65
Blended Fair Value$812.41
Current Price$310.00
Upside162.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%2.9517.064.752.140.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---82.72%259.12%121.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.09%5.45%0.35%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,265.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)210.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,055.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)253.18158.2494.94
Cash Retained (M)1,055.801,055.801,055.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-253.18-158.24-94.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)802.62897.56960.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.7946.7946.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.1619.1820.54
LTM Dividend per Share4.494.494.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.1619.1820.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend21.6523.6825.03
WACC / Discount Rate4.70%4.70%4.70%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$316.60$411.18$532.47
Upside / Downside2.13%32.64%71.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,265.901,253.241,240.711,228.301,216.021,203.861,239.97
Payout Ratio16.60%31.28%45.96%60.64%75.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)210.11391.99570.21744.83915.901,083.471,146.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.70%4.70%4.70%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)370.61374.39378.17
Year 2 PV (M)509.71520.16530.72
Year 3 PV (M)629.48648.95668.82
Year 4 PV (M)731.84762.18793.44
Year 5 PV (M)818.53861.15905.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,961.3553,615.0356,378.11
Equity Value (M)54,021.5256,781.8559,654.79
Shares Outstanding (M)46.7946.7946.79
Fair Value$1,154.65$1,213.65$1,275.06
Upside / Downside272.47%291.50%311.31%

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