Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

QL Resources Berhad (7084.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.51 - $5.89$3.69
Multi-Stage$1.82 - $1.99$1.91
Blended Fair Value$2.80
Current Price$4.34
Upside-35.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS19.30%14.98%0.050.040.050.020.020.020.020.020.010.01
YoY Growth--11.52%-7.14%100.00%16.67%0.00%0.00%-19.31%70.59%0.00%21.43%
Dividend Yield--1.05%1.00%1.31%0.67%0.53%0.47%0.66%0.93%0.86%0.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)436.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)182.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)254.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)87.3454.5932.75
Cash Retained (M)254.23254.23254.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-87.34-54.59-32.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)166.89199.64221.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,650.313,650.313,650.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.52%9.52%9.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2.51$3.69$5.89
Upside / Downside-42.13%-14.95%35.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)436.72465.10495.33527.53561.82598.34616.29
Payout Ratio41.79%51.43%61.07%70.71%80.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)182.48239.19302.51373.04451.46538.50570.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.52%9.52%9.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)216.35218.40220.45
Year 2 PV (M)247.49252.20256.96
Year 3 PV (M)276.04283.97292.04
Year 4 PV (M)302.17313.79325.74
Year 5 PV (M)326.01341.75358.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,292.785,548.435,813.85
Equity Value (M)6,660.846,958.547,267.15
Shares Outstanding (M)3,650.313,650.313,650.31
Fair Value$1.82$1.91$1.99
Upside / Downside-57.96%-56.08%-54.13%

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