Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hangzhou Huaguang Advanced Welding Materials Co., Ltd. (688379.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$73.94 - $367.93$155.06
Multi-Stage$40.31 - $44.08$42.16
Blended Fair Value$98.61
Current Price$55.16
Upside78.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS36.85%9.13%0.460.270.360.360.120.100.320.100.090.15
YoY Growth--71.47%-23.94%-1.69%214.39%19.04%-70.01%222.45%8.61%-37.78%-23.64%
Dividend Yield--1.85%1.66%1.85%2.00%0.55%0.19%0.64%0.00%0.18%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)159.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)112.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.9719.9811.99
Cash Retained (M)112.92112.92112.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.97-19.98-11.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)80.9592.94100.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)86.4186.4186.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.941.081.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.540.540.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.941.081.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.481.621.71
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$73.94$155.06$367.93
Upside / Downside34.04%181.11%567.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)159.87170.26181.33193.12205.67219.04225.61
Payout Ratio29.37%41.49%53.62%65.75%77.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.9570.6597.23126.97160.16197.13208.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)65.0365.6566.26
Year 2 PV (M)82.3983.9685.54
Year 3 PV (M)99.04101.88104.78
Year 4 PV (M)115.01119.43123.98
Year 5 PV (M)130.31136.60143.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,991.123,135.603,285.60
Equity Value (M)3,482.903,643.123,809.30
Shares Outstanding (M)86.4186.4186.41
Fair Value$40.31$42.16$44.08
Upside / Downside-26.93%-23.57%-20.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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