Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

China Catalyst Holding Co., Ltd. (688267.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.17 - $40.66$27.21
Multi-Stage$14.31 - $15.62$14.95
Blended Fair Value$21.08
Current Price$28.78
Upside-26.74%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201620152014
DPS39.09%48.76%0.200.260.270.220.060.040.010.000.000.01
YoY Growth---23.73%-3.89%27.15%235.00%66.70%449.85%0.00%0.00%-100.00%47.56%
Dividend Yield--0.76%1.26%0.86%0.58%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)175.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)114.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.1821.9913.19
Cash Retained (M)114.58114.58114.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.18-21.99-13.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)79.3992.59101.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)172.17172.17172.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.460.540.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.460.540.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.890.95
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$19.17$27.21$40.66
Upside / Downside-33.40%-5.44%41.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)175.92187.36199.54212.51226.32241.03248.26
Payout Ratio34.87%45.90%56.92%67.95%78.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.3585.99113.58144.39178.73216.93229.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)77.4478.1778.91
Year 2 PV (M)92.1293.8795.64
Year 3 PV (M)105.46108.49111.57
Year 4 PV (M)117.56122.08126.73
Year 5 PV (M)128.49134.70141.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,943.502,037.372,134.83
Equity Value (M)2,464.572,574.682,688.83
Shares Outstanding (M)172.17172.17172.17
Fair Value$14.31$14.95$15.62
Upside / Downside-50.26%-48.04%-45.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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