Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

New Cosmos Electric Co.,Ltd. (6824.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,046.74 - $14,293.05$8,911.08
Multi-Stage$4,270.69 - $4,665.47$4,464.50
Blended Fair Value$6,687.79
Current Price$2,667.00
Upside150.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%48.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,531.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)742.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,788.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)706.20441.38264.83
Cash Retained (M)2,788.772,788.772,788.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-706.20-441.38-264.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,082.572,347.392,523.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.3612.3612.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share168.49189.92204.20
LTM Dividend per Share60.0560.0560.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share168.49189.92204.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend228.54249.97264.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6,046.74$8,911.08$14,293.05
Upside / Downside126.72%234.12%435.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,531.003,760.524,004.954,265.274,542.514,837.784,982.91
Payout Ratio21.02%34.82%48.61%62.41%76.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)742.231,309.281,946.902,661.883,461.584,354.004,609.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,184.591,195.821,207.05
Year 2 PV (M)1,593.751,624.101,654.75
Year 3 PV (M)1,971.532,028.132,085.79
Year 4 PV (M)2,319.682,408.892,500.64
Year 5 PV (M)2,639.862,767.362,899.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)43,076.5045,157.1247,317.36
Equity Value (M)52,785.9155,181.4257,665.34
Shares Outstanding (M)12.3612.3612.36
Fair Value$4,270.69$4,464.50$4,665.47
Upside / Downside60.13%67.40%74.93%

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