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Definitive Analysis

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Wendell Industrial Co., Ltd (6761.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$286.06 - $1,374.25$619.89
Multi-Stage$160.01 - $174.63$167.18
Blended Fair Value$393.54
Current Price$148.50
Upside165.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS38.54%0.00%3.453.493.971.831.450.680.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.24%-12.07%116.83%26.00%115.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.51%4.23%4.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)241.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)195.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)45.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.2430.1518.09
Cash Retained (M)45.4945.4945.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.24-30.15-18.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.7515.3427.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.9134.9134.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.440.78
LTM Dividend per Share5.615.615.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.440.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.536.056.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$286.06$619.89$1,374.25
Upside / Downside92.63%317.43%825.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)241.21256.89273.59291.37310.31330.48340.40
Payout Ratio81.14%82.91%84.68%86.46%88.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)195.72212.99231.69251.91273.78297.43314.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)196.20198.06199.92
Year 2 PV (M)196.60200.34204.12
Year 3 PV (M)196.90202.56208.32
Year 4 PV (M)197.13204.71212.51
Year 5 PV (M)197.28206.81216.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,601.234,823.475,054.22
Equity Value (M)5,585.345,835.956,095.79
Shares Outstanding (M)34.9134.9134.91
Fair Value$160.01$167.18$174.63
Upside / Downside7.75%12.58%17.59%

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