DDM Analysis: 6361.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,345.22 - $7,858.91	$4,919.77
Multi-Stage	$2,407.36 - $2,627.66	$2,515.52
Blended Fair Value	$3,717.65
Current Price	$2,778.00
Upside	33.82%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2017	2016
DPS	31.10%	18.81%	49.23	40.97	39.40	22.61	12.36	12.71	9.89	13.18	12.07	14.32
YoY Growth	-	-	20.17%	3.99%	74.23%	83.00%	-2.79%	28.46%	-24.91%	9.15%	-15.72%	63.01%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.19%	1.53%	3.21%	1.65%	1.37%	3.09%	1.54%	1.70%	1.94%	2.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	73,527.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	25,404.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	48,123.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	14,705.40	9,190.88	5,514.53
Cash Retained (M)	48,123.00	48,123.00	48,123.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-14,705.40	-9,190.88	-5,514.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)	33,417.60	38,932.13	42,608.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	462.38	462.38	462.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	72.27	84.20	92.15
LTM Dividend per Share	54.94	54.94	54.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share	72.27	84.20	92.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	127.21	139.14	147.09
WACC / Discount Rate	9.51%	9.51%	9.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$3,345.22	$4,919.77	$7,858.91
Upside / Downside	20.42%	77.10%	182.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	73,527.00	78,306.26	83,396.16	88,816.91	94,590.01	100,738.36	103,760.51
Payout Ratio	34.55%	45.64%	56.73%	67.82%	78.91%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	25,404.00	35,739.33	47,310.93	60,235.83	74,641.09	90,664.53	95,978.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.51%	9.51%	9.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	32,328.64	32,635.08	32,941.51
Year 2 PV (M)	38,711.81	39,449.16	40,193.47
Year 3 PV (M)	44,583.89	45,863.74	47,167.84
Year 4 PV (M)	49,973.76	51,895.61	53,872.37
Year 5 PV (M)	54,908.87	57,560.99	60,314.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	892,611.49	935,724.96	980,488.48
Equity Value (M)	1,113,118.46	1,163,129.53	1,214,978.27
Shares Outstanding (M)	462.38	462.38	462.38
Fair Value	$2,407.36	$2,515.52	$2,627.66
Upside / Downside	-13.34%	-9.45%	-5.41%

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Financial Statements

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Ebara Corporation (6361.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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