Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Welldone Company (6170.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.40 - $66.58$54.21
Multi-Stage$96.45 - $106.05$101.15
Blended Fair Value$77.68
Current Price$51.20
Upside51.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%2.701.861.421.240.800.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--44.90%31.25%14.29%55.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.99%3.46%3.53%3.77%3.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)471.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)302.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)168.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)94.2358.9035.34
Cash Retained (M)168.69168.69168.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-94.23-58.90-35.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)74.46109.79133.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)98.2798.2798.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.761.121.36
LTM Dividend per Share3.083.083.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.761.121.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.844.204.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$43.40$54.21$66.58
Upside / Downside-15.24%5.88%30.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)471.17466.46461.79457.17452.60448.08461.52
Payout Ratio64.20%69.36%74.52%79.68%84.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)302.48323.53344.12364.27383.99403.27426.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)300.26303.32306.38
Year 2 PV (M)296.40302.48308.62
Year 3 PV (M)291.19300.19309.38
Year 4 PV (M)284.87296.68308.85
Year 5 PV (M)277.66292.12307.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,027.668,445.688,880.94
Equity Value (M)9,478.049,940.4710,421.34
Shares Outstanding (M)98.2798.2798.27
Fair Value$96.45$101.15$106.05
Upside / Downside88.37%97.56%107.12%

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