Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Leedarson IoT Technology Inc. (605365.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.06 - $100.32$93.96
Multi-Stage$56.10 - $61.83$58.91
Blended Fair Value$76.44
Current Price$15.14
Upside404.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS12.83%0.00%0.330.300.130.010.090.180.070.030.000.00
YoY Growth--8.95%129.02%1,885.28%-92.26%-52.29%147.44%111.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.15%1.64%0.73%0.04%0.35%0.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)266.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)218.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53.2633.2919.97
Cash Retained (M)48.1748.1748.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-53.26-33.29-19.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)-5.0914.8828.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)501.87501.87501.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.030.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.030.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.420.460.49
WACC / Discount Rate-1.01%-1.01%-1.01%
Growth Rate0.19%1.19%2.19%
Fair Value$85.06$93.96$100.32
Upside / Downside461.83%520.64%562.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)266.30269.48272.69275.94279.23282.56291.04
Payout Ratio81.91%83.53%85.15%86.76%88.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)218.13225.09232.19239.42246.79254.31269.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.01%-1.01%-1.01%
Growth Rate0.19%1.19%2.19%
Year 1 PV (M)225.15227.40229.64
Year 2 PV (M)232.31236.97241.67
Year 3 PV (M)239.60246.85254.24
Year 4 PV (M)247.04257.06267.37
Year 5 PV (M)254.63267.59281.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,955.4728,327.7729,755.40
Equity Value (M)28,154.2029,563.6331,029.40
Shares Outstanding (M)501.87501.87501.87
Fair Value$56.10$58.91$61.83
Upside / Downside270.53%289.08%308.37%

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