Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Xinya Electronic Co., Ltd. (605277.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.50 - $132.52$59.43
Multi-Stage$14.78 - $16.16$15.46
Blended Fair Value$37.45
Current Price$25.75
Upside45.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS31.10%0.00%0.250.200.430.130.000.060.160.100.060.00
YoY Growth--20.19%-52.72%240.79%2,563.77%-92.49%-59.97%66.67%62.33%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.39%1.45%3.67%1.05%0.05%0.59%1.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)210.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)67.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)142.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.0826.3015.78
Cash Retained (M)142.86142.86142.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.08-26.30-15.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)100.77116.55127.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)315.77315.77315.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.370.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.370.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.530.580.62
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.50$59.43$132.52
Upside / Downside6.81%130.80%414.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)210.41224.09238.66254.17270.69288.29296.93
Payout Ratio32.11%43.69%55.26%66.84%78.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)67.5697.90131.89169.90212.28259.46274.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)90.1791.0391.88
Year 2 PV (M)111.90114.04116.19
Year 3 PV (M)132.78136.59140.47
Year 4 PV (M)152.81158.69164.74
Year 5 PV (M)172.04180.35188.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,007.294,200.844,401.80
Equity Value (M)4,667.004,881.535,104.06
Shares Outstanding (M)315.77315.77315.77
Fair Value$14.78$15.46$16.16
Upside / Downside-42.60%-39.96%-37.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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