Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Xianheng International Science&Technology Co., Ltd. (605056.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.89 - $7.25$6.01
Multi-Stage$9.31 - $10.23$9.76
Blended Fair Value$7.89
Current Price$16.22
Upside-51.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-13.33%0.00%0.150.350.340.390.300.300.280.140.000.00
YoY Growth---57.34%3.31%-14.62%30.03%-0.05%6.21%107.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.07%2.46%2.68%2.73%1.54%1.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)254.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)146.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)108.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.8731.7919.08
Cash Retained (M)108.23108.23108.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.87-31.79-19.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)57.3676.4389.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)417.83417.83417.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.89$6.01$7.25
Upside / Downside-69.88%-62.92%-55.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)254.34251.80249.28246.79244.32241.87249.13
Payout Ratio57.45%63.96%70.47%76.98%83.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)146.11161.05175.66189.97203.98217.69230.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)147.93149.44150.95
Year 2 PV (M)148.21151.25154.32
Year 3 PV (M)147.23151.78156.43
Year 4 PV (M)145.21151.23157.43
Year 5 PV (M)142.34149.75157.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,160.243,324.803,496.14
Equity Value (M)3,891.164,078.254,272.74
Shares Outstanding (M)417.83417.83417.83
Fair Value$9.31$9.76$10.23
Upside / Downside-42.58%-39.82%-36.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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