Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Zhejiang Xinao Textiles Inc. (603889.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61.04 - $120.08$112.54
Multi-Stage$18.86 - $20.63$19.73
Blended Fair Value$66.13
Current Price$6.80
Upside872.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.22%18.05%0.370.320.240.160.130.170.140.100.080.08
YoY Growth--13.17%35.10%49.66%26.32%-26.64%23.31%33.35%33.35%-6.43%20.79%
Dividend Yield--5.63%4.56%4.19%3.74%3.48%4.91%2.37%1.35%0.87%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)435.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)252.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)182.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)87.1254.4532.67
Cash Retained (M)182.95182.95182.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-87.12-54.45-32.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)95.83128.50150.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)721.45721.45721.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$61.04$112.54$120.08
Upside / Downside797.67%1,554.94%1,665.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)435.62463.94494.09526.21560.41596.84614.74
Payout Ratio58.00%64.40%70.80%77.20%83.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)252.67298.78349.82406.24468.50537.15568.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)278.34280.98283.62
Year 2 PV (M)303.60309.38315.22
Year 3 PV (M)328.44337.87347.48
Year 4 PV (M)352.88366.45380.41
Year 5 PV (M)376.91395.11414.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,964.3912,542.2713,142.27
Equity Value (M)13,604.5514,232.0614,883.00
Shares Outstanding (M)721.45721.45721.45
Fair Value$18.86$19.73$20.63
Upside / Downside177.31%190.11%203.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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